On A Successful Journey

I’ve been enjoying reading John Edward Huth’s book The Lost Art of Finding Your Way where he describes how “experienced navigators” understand that there is a ”fixed percentage of uncertainty” whenever they are heading towards a destination, even when using a compass, and that margin of error is 5-10%.

Hutch writes, and “uncertainties in heading and speed only accumulate with time, resulting in an ever-growing uncertainty in position as the journey progresses. If you travel at 3 miles an hour with a 10 percent uncertainty, after twelve hours, your position is 36 miles from your starting point with an uncertainty of 3.6 miles. After twenty-four hours that uncertainty grows to 7.2 miles.”

What this means is whenever we are setting out on a journey where we can’t use GPS – a hike, a project at work or home, a new habit we are nurturing – it’s important to recognize likely we will arrive near, but not exactly where we were heading. Taking into account Huth’s “fixed percentage of uncertainty” can help us better measure and define a successful journey.

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